Category Archives: Matrices
Justice Matrix
Blindfold
Univesality – not one law for rich, another for poor. Not one law for blacks, another for whites. Not one for women, another for men.
Aka: equality before the law, equal protection of the laws
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Scales
Proportionality of punishments to crimes.
Guilt or innocence a function of the evidence not the whim of the judge.
Is there a finger on the scales?
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Sword
Justice delayed is justice denied. Justice must be swift and certain or it is not justice. But sword pointed down means justice should be minimized. Coercion (aka violence) is bad. Criminalize as little as possible.
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Starting gate
Justice is about equality of economic opportunity. If you are malnourished or lacking the same cultural capital at the starting gate, there is no equality of opportunity. Is there a diversity versus equal opportunity trade-off? Are some values less conducive to upward mobility? |
Ladder
Does greater economic inequality make the rungs of the ladder too hard to reach? Does a too high minimum wage rip off the bottom rung? Is there a parental liberty versus equal economic opportunity trade-off? |
Pie/Leaky Bucket
Is money being taken from the wells of the rich to the cups of the poor in a “leaky bucket” – much of it going to third parties and reducing work incentives for both rich and poor? Is there a fundamental trade-off between growing the pie and splitting it more evenly? |
Income and Wealth Inequality Statistics:
Current versus historical. What is too much? What is too little? Who decides? How?
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Mobility Statistics
How much is enough? What explains differentials in mobility? Is the American dream a fraud?
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Tax Burden statistics
How much is too much vertical and horizontal inequality? Where are we on the spectrum? What would change your mind?
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Religious Literacy
Religions tell three big stories: how and when the universe began and how and when it will end (cosmology), how to live (morality), and how we the enlightened came to acquire this knowledge.
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All great religions have the same common ethical core – a message of gratitude (piety, obedience, humility, renunciation) and kindness (mercy, love). |
All great religions acknowledge the difficulty of living according to these principles in the face of bad luck, the unkindness of others, and our own negative emotions. |
All great religions offer a recipe for a discipline which should minimize deviations from the narrow path of gratitude and kindness
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RELIGION:
The Big Picture
A medieval set of answers to ultimate questions, a corrupt set of institutions bent on survival and expansion, a bunch of good people doing good things,
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These disciplines incorporate prayer at many times during the day as well as a regular calendar of collective ritual events. |
All religions have historically been a barrier to scientific and economic progress as the priestly class has sought to prevent the rise of competing castes.
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There is no power more absolute than that of power over the souls of men. As all power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely, the historical consequences have been dire.
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Separation of church and state and freedom of religion are critical to freedom of speech and human progress. But some sort of secular equivalent of religion must exist to answer all the ultimate questions of morality, cosmology, and history.
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Ethics
What does it mean to do the right thing?
#1 #2 #3
Ethical Core of
All Great Religions |
Piety, aka
Gratitude, aka Humility |
Charity, aka love,aka kindness,
Mercy |
Self-Control,
Discipline, aka desire control |
Political virtues | Equality before the law, aka universality | Reciprocity —no rights without duties, duties without rights | Proportionality of punishments to crimes, rewards to merit |
Economic virtues | Diligence, hard work, first do no harm (eg. do not be a burden on others) | Frugality – postponement of gratification
(marshmallow experiment) |
Pursuit of Excellence, self-improvement
(eg. kaizen) |
Classical
Virtues and Vices |
Courage,
Temperance, Prudence Justice – 4 Cardinal Virtues |
Seven Vices:
Pride, wrath,envy, sloth, lust, gluttony, greed |
Right thought, right speech, right action, right mindfulness, right concentration, right livelihood |
Ethics by profession and stage of life
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Warrior versus Priestly ethics
Versus Business ethics |
Physician versus
fiduciary codes of ethics
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The student stage versus the householder versus the wandering holy man |
Traditional Virtues
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Obedience
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Loyalty
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Honor
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Economics
Principle Example #1 Example #2 Example #3
#1 Tax it get less of it, Subsidize it, get more of it.
Aka “humans are rational utility maximizers” Aka “incentives matter” Aka Demand curve slopes downward and to the right. And supply curve upward to the right. |
Tax work, get less work. Subsidize non-work get more non-work. No wonder our labor force participation rate is so low. Tax marriage, get less marriage. Subsidize non-marriage get more of it. No wonder single parenthood has skyrocketed. |
Tax savings with negative real interest rates, get less savings. Subsidize speculation with negative real interest, get more speculation. Surprise, surprise. Look at our Savings rate! Look at a pattern of rotating bubbles. |
The minimum wage is a tax on hiring, raise it get less hiring. Rent control is a tax on housing. Rent control leads to housing shortages.
Regulation is a tax on business, reduces number of businesses, favors big companies versus small. |
#2 The Paradox of the Invisible Hand,
aka the miracle of the equilibrium point in the supply demand curve, aka the free exchange of ideas, goods, and services, tends to to maximize prosperity for all. Minimize state interference. |
This explains the relative prosperity of North versus South Korea.
Ever seen a satellite photo the Asia at night? The more free an economy, the more prosperous the society. Selfishness is paradoxically good for all. |
The relative success of the Soviet Union and Maoist China versus the United States and post-Maoist China.
Communism is great in theory, in practice a nightmare. |
The relative success of Brazil, Mexico, after free market reforms relative to Cuba, Zimbabwe,
and other command and control economies. After all, the way to maximize profits is to meet the needs of others. |
#3 Government is necessary to prevent monopolies, to provide public goods, and make sure that externalities are priced in. |
The cost of pollution made life in many US cities unlivable in the 1970s. Every time I take a deep breath on the street, I thank God for regulation. |
Without safe streets and law and order, life would be poor, lonely, nasty, brutish and short.
As it is in certain zip codes where these public goods are not provided. |
The key to prosperity long term is productivity growth – the key to which is maximizing human capital through public education. |
Political Science
Four Take-aways
Example #1 Example #2 Example #3
#1
Power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely. |
Stalinist Russia
Maoist China Castro’s Cuba Mugabe’s Zimbabwe Hitler’s Germany |
Richard Daley’s Chicago
Curley’s Boston Young’s Detroit Barry’s Washington DC |
Renaissance Popes
Pedophilia in Catholic Church Polygamy and Mormon founders. Henry VIII and Anglicanism |
#2
Government is inherently evil because it involves coercion, but inherently necessary because men are not angels (Madison).
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The anarchy of renaissance Italy
Versus Pax Romana; Articles of Confederation versus Constitution
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The anarchy of Rwanda, Congo, warring states period in China
Versus the relative peace under Genghis Khan |
The anarchy of Iraq, Syria, versus Pax Americana |
#3
Government debt tends to rise because given the choice between spending more and gaining votes and taxing more and losing votes, politicians always choose the former.
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The Ancient World:
Rome the poster child of bread, circuses and currency debasement. |
The Modern World:
Greece Argentina |
The United States:
The real debt of the United States is about $200 trillion not the reported $17 trillion. The Fed obligingly funds the debt with currency debasement and negative real rates.
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#4
The separation of powers is a good idea.
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Geographic separation:
Local, state, and federal |
Functional separation:
Legislative, executive, judicial
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Separation of church and state
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History
Lesson #1 Lesson #2 Lesson #3
Progressive consensus |
Class is ultimately all that matters. All
history is the history of the exploitation of the have-nots by the haves. |
The history of the West is the history of the exploitation of the non-white by the white and the history of mankind is the history of the exploitation of women. | Western and US imperialism
are the causes of anti-Americanism and terrorism.
This is the lesson of Vietnam, Iraq. |
Conservative consensus |
Communist premises lead to tyranny, injustice,
and poverty — as in Soviet Union, China, Cuba, Zimbabwe |
Free markets lead to rising standards of living —in China
As in the US, Europe, Brazil, Mexico. The West has been a hugely net positive force in world history. |
Peace comes through strength not appeasement.
Weakness encourages aggression. This is the lesson of Munich and 9/11.
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Is there a middle ground?
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Free markets lead to rising standards of living —in China
As in the US, Europe, Brazil, Mexico. The class Is all that matters premise is false. The driver of history is human imagination not class struggle. Property is not theft but the fence of liberty. |
Free markets are not enough.
Education and health are public goods and high standards of each for all are the government’s business. The West has been a net positive force for the world and this can be measured by the relative degree of gender and racial equality there |
The lessons of Munich, 9/11, Vietnam, and Iraq are all worth remembering.
Hindsight is 20/20. The choice of the wrong analogy could result in untold human slaughter. What sane person would want to take on that burden? (ie what sane person would want to be president?) |
Constitutional Law
Time for a 4th Amendment Package?
Make more Reduce Establish End taxation
“Democratic” Corruption Justice/Freedom without Represent
Abolish Senate | Single longer terms for Congressmen | Equal schools amendment – equal programs, equal disciplinary standards | Balanced budget amendment
Transparent Citizen’s Guide to Financial Report |
Abolish Electoral
College |
Single longer term for president | Education as fundamental right amendment | Rule based monetary policy: violation of article 1, Section 9 |
Tweak Senate | Automated districting to eliminate gerrymandering | Basic Income amendment – end current welfare system 82 programs |
Statehood for DC |
Tweak Electoral College | Require Congressmen to read bills – if don’t read who wrote? | GBrubstake
Amendment |
Statehood for Puerto Rico |
E voting | Transparency – every clause in every bill author disclosed | No zip code safety gap amendment | National Teaching and Citizenship Acadenies |
Automatic voter
registration |
Limits on donations | End affirmative action | End rule by executive decree |
Mandatory Voting | End disparate impact mandates | End filibustering | |
Direct Referenda
(a la Switzerland) |
End Price Controls
(min wage, rent control) |
End executive pardons | |
End life tenure for judges | Make judges electable | Universal DNA testing | End dual citizenship |
End rule of 5 for judicial decisions | Abolish elections of Judges | Parent licenses and training programs | End age restrictions |
First three packages: Bill of Rights, Reconstruction Amendments, Progressive package (direct election of Senators, Income Tax, Women’s suffrage, Prohibition)
Much has changed in last 100 years, time to make the law of land consistent with these new realities
Rhetoric
To be a thinking citizen demands being attuned to logical and statistical fallacies and the propaganda tricks of demagogues.
A rhetorically un-trained citizen is a patsy at the poker table of modern politics.
Logical Fallacies | Statistical Fallacies | Propaganda Tricks |
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Begging the Question | Data Omission | Code words |
The Straw Man | Correlation and Causation
Confusion |
Manipulative Images |
The False Dilemma | Misleading aggregate data | Dog whistles |
Ad hominem | Survey question framing | Wedges |
Appeal to Emotion:
(spite, fear) |
Cherry picking | Old fashioned bold lies |
Appeal to Authority | Sampling errors | Camera angles |
The Red Herring | Composition | |
Appeal to the Majority | Lighting | |
Moving the Goal Posts | Testimonials | |
Fallacy of Composition | Scapegoats | |
Moral high ground fallacy | ||
Furtive fallacies | ||
Hasty generalization/
Converse accident |
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Argumentum ad baculum
(might makes right, appeal to consequences) |
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Post hoc, ergo propter hoc | ||
Non sequitur |
A fallacy does not prove a claim false. But its use does undermine it.
Swift quote on lies: falsehood flies and truth comes limping after it.
A lie travels halfway around the world while truth still putting on its shoes.
People remember the lie not so much the truth.
Health Care
Principle Fact Solution
Side A |
Health care is a basic right and should be treated as a public good like education or defense.
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Most other developed countries treat it as such and many have better health outcomes at lower costs.
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Adopt universal health care on a
Canadian, British, or French model.
Have a public option as in US public education. |
Side B |
The key to maximizing the quality and abundance of any good or service while minimizing its cost is the free market.
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The history of the Soviet Union, China, Cuba,
Venezuela, Zimbabwe is testimony to the fact that government control leads to scarcity – to long lines and empty shelves in health care as in all other areas of the economy. |
Minimize government involvement In health care.
Let the free market do its magic here as in computer technology leading to abundance at low cost and high quality. |
Side C
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The real issue is not health care or health insurance but health – maximizing each individual’s potential for joy and productivity.
The free market versus government choice is a false dilemma.
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Health outcomes are more a function of behavior than either health care or health insurance access.
Most health care and health insurance systems in the world are hybrids. Problem is too much and wrong kind not too little. |
Re-frame the health policy debate accordingly.
Universal catastrophic care plus health savings accounts. The greatest health crisis is the 20 MM children living a Daily Katrina of unsafe streets, second rate schools, and unstable homes. |